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Credit Woes Derail Thomas the Tank Engine

3 Recommendations

Children's books were going to be the catalyst for change at toy maker RC2 (Nasdaq: RCRC), but since the credit markets seized up, that transformation is going to have to come in a later chapter. A $163 million deal to buy the Children's Publishing Division from privately held Publications International fell through after the maker of the Thomas & Friends line of toys said there was simply no capital available to make it happen.

RC2 isn't the only buyer on the market to have a merger collapse because of a dearth of credit. While we read about Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) or Citigroup (NYSE: C) still making megamergers to save various financial assets, the capital markets have shrunk to such a degree that many deals are falling by the wayside or not taking place altogether.

Mining company Xstrata just backed out of a $10 billion deal to buy Lonmin, and Apollo Capital Management tried to back out of buying Huntsman (NYSE: HUN), though a court ruled it must complete the deal. In fact, through the first nine months of the year, global deal volume has declined 23% to $2.6 trillion. And private equity has essentially dried up; such deals are down 72% so far this year, to $177 billion.

The arid credit landscape comes at a particularly difficult moment for RC2. Revenue fell 4% in the toymaker's second quarter as it posted a $0.37-per-share loss. While the quarter is typically a slow one -- 60% of RC2's sales come in the second half of the year -- it also suggests that the next two quarters aren't going to be particularly robust. That's why a lot had been riding on the acquisition. With $112 million in annual sales last year and operating margins in the mid-teens, it was expected to be immediately accretive to earnings.

It was also going to be going up against some pretty weak comparables. Last year, sales had fallen as a result of two product recalls, which occurred at the same time as consumers began reining in their discretionary purchases. Plus, the Children's Publishing purchase would have been a nice fit with the company’s pre-school and toddler products.

RC2 will probably receive some benefits from the declines in prices we've seen in commodities and fuel costs, along with a strengthening of the dollar against many major currencies. The toy maker says it has not closed the book completely on making the acquisition, that it might revisit it if there's a thaw in the credit markets. Yet at 12 times expected earnings, that's putting it at a level comparable to Mattel (NYSE: MAT) and just a little beneath Hasbro (NYSE: HAS), both of which have better prospects ahead.

With the coming holidays not expected to bring much cheer to retailers, I wouldn't look for RC2 to write many new chapters on growth anytime soon.

Read chapter and verse with these related Foolish articles:

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RC2 is a Motley Fool Hidden Gems selection. Bank of America is a Motley Fool Income Investor pick. Hasbro is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Rich Duprey does not have a financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings here. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • On October 01, 2008, at 6:51 PM, hmoulding wrote: Report this Comment

    So... what exactly is the problem here? If you don't have the money you shouldn't buy something you can't afford, right? Looks to me as if for once these folks are being asked to live within their means, like the rest of us. It's not as if any real people care if corporation X can or cannot merge with corporation Y - except to the extent that the resulting corporation may end up laying people off.

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